Global mobile subscriptions will reach 9.3 billion by 2019: Ericsson

ericsson-logoEricsson, the multinational telecom company based out of Sweden, has recently released its mobility report, predicting that global mobile subscriptions will reach around 9.3 billion and Global mobile broadband will grow 4 times by 2019, reaching 8 billion.

The report basically analyzes data to provide insights into the current mobile traffic and market trends. Also, analysis has been done on the basis of Mobile technology such as GSM/EDGE, WCDMA/HSPA and LTE.

While GSM and CDMA being the widely used technologies in 2G, High Speed Packet Access (HSPA) is the most widely deployed mobile broadband technology in the world today for 3G. LTE, an initialism of Long Term Evolution and marketed as 4G LTE , is considered by many to be the obvious successor to the current generation of 3G technology.

Here is a brief overview of the current and upcoming trends in mobile subscriptions on both Global and Regional basis:

Global Outlook: Mobile- subscriptions, broadband, devices

  • Total mobile subscriptions up to and including Q3 2013 are at around 6.6 Bn, including 113 Mn new subscriptions added during the third quarter. However, actual number was around 4.5 Bn, considering the fact that many people have several subscriptions.

  • India took the second position among the top 5 countries contributing 10 Mn subscriptions in Q3 2013 alone, with China adding the maximum subscriptions of 25 Mn.

  • Global mobile broadband subscriptions passed 2 Bn in 2013 where majority of mobile broadband devices are, and will continue to be smartphones.

  • Total smartphone subscriptions will reach 1.9 Bn at the end of 2013, due to a notable increase in subscriptions in Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa.

  • By the end of 2019, total mobile subscriptions are expected to reach around 9.3 Bn.

  • Global mobile broadband subscriptions will grow 4 times by 2019, reaching 8 Bn and smartphone subscriptions will reach 5.6 Bn, due to the availability in lower price range.

  • Mobile subscriptions in APAC will reach 4.7 Bn in 2019.

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Regional Outlook:

  • North America: LTE will represent the majority of subscriptions in the region in 2016, growing to around 85 percent in 2019, driven by strong competition and consumer demand.

  • Latin America: The strong growth in subscriptions in this region will be driven by economic development and consumer demand. In 2019, WCDMA/HSPA will be the dominant technology, however GSM/EDGE-only subscriptions will still be significant.

  • Middle East & Africa: 80% of subscriptions in the Middle East & Africa are 2G in 2013. The same number will be 3G/4G in 2019.

  • Asia Pacific: Asia Pacific is progressing towards 3G and 4G. In 2013, around 75 percent of mobile subscriptions were 2G, while around 85 percent will be 3G/4G in 2019.

  • Central and Eastern Europe: shows a strong increase in HSPA subscriptions. LTE will initially grow in the most developed parts of the region, and will be present in almost all countries by 2015.

  • Western Europe: WCDMA/HSPA is the dominant technology today. By the end of the forecast period, LTE will make up around 55 percent of the subscriptions base. However, the LTE development will not be as strong as North america due to factors such as having many well-developed 3G networks in the region as well as the type of tariff plans that are available for LTE.

Other Trends

  • In 2013, mobile traffic generated by mobile phones will exceed that generated by mobile PCs, tablets and routers.

  • Mobile data traffic is expected to grow at a CAGR of around 45 percent (2013-2019). This will result in an increase of around 10 times by the end of 2019.

  • In 2013, video accounts for ~35% of mobile data traffic, while In 2019, video will account for more than 50% of mobile data traffic.

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To read complete Ericsson Mobility report, click here

To contact author, email at meha@wirefootindia.com

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